Thursday, May 18, 2006

Colorado (5/18/06)

Well, here it is... the first race analysis on this blog! We shall begin with Colorado. Incumbent senator Wayne Allard (R) is not well liked in this toss-up state (he has a net approval rating of just 1%) and, fortunately for the Democrats, they have a great candidate in Congressman Mark Udall, son of former Arizona senator Mark Udall. Allard hasn't announced whether he'll run (he might retire) but Udall says that he's running either way. In 2002 Allard won 51%-46% which definitely shows his vulnerability. If he ends up not running, term-limited governor Bill Owens could jump in the race, although that seems unlikely. The state GOP is so weak, so if Allard retires, their best shot would be either former congressman Bob Beauprez (running for governor this year) or state attorney general John W. Suthers.

Possible GOP Candidates: Senator Wayne Allard (http://allard.senate.gov/)

Possible Dem Candidates: Congressman Mark Udall (http://markudall.house.gov/)>)

Current rating: Toss-up

2 Comments:

Blogger JWR said...

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2006/03/23/in_colorado_tancredo_eyes_senate_seat.html

He's really conservative...nutty, even.

Allard's the sponsor of the gay marriage-banning ammendment, which could either help him or hurt him but would definitely be a campaign issue if he runs.

Also...
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2005/03/04/udall_nixes_run_for_governor_targets_senate.html

5/20/2006 11:40 AM  
Blogger JWR said...

Oops...rather than the last link, which you already have, I meant this one.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2005/07/21/owens_never_considered_white_house_bid.html

Keep in mind that if all these strong republicans are waiting, Allard is more likely to keep his promise (especially since he is one of the Senate's 5 Worst Senators according to TIME and has done nothing to help his state).

5/20/2006 11:43 AM  

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